Scenario and Resilience Analyses
Turning climate uncertainty into strategic insight
The pressure to understand the strategic opportunities and risks of climate change for business models and assets is constantly increasing. Physical climate influences, technological developments, changing customer expectations and the transition to a low-emission economy are increasingly impacting competitiveness, capital allocation and long-term value creation. Climate scenario analyses are therefore becoming increasingly important as a basis for forward-looking strategic decisions.
At the same time, the regulatory framework is being tightened by requirements such as the EU Taxonomy and CSRD, which establish scenario and resilience analyses as a central management tool and place high demands on data quality, transparency and governance. This requires structured and repeatable integration into existing company processes.
At agradblue, we support companies in analyzing climate scenarios along value chains and assets and anchoring them permanently. Based on recognized sources such as IPCC, IEA, ENCORE and the UNEP Finance Initiative, we quantify financial and strategic implications and develop a reliable basis for decision making. If required, we also support the selection and implementation of suitable software solutions for future-oriented risk management.
Our expertise
With many years of consulting experience, agradblue combines business management expertise for the strategic classification of climate-related impacts in the business context with sound engineering know-how for site-specific adaptation. In this way, we provide you with holistic support and help you to sustainably strengthen your company's resilience in a changing world.
Our services include:
- Conducting qualitative and quantitative scenario and resilience analyses for transition and physical risks
- Calculation of the financial effects
- Methodological training and project implementation in a sparring approach
- Business area analyses and derivation of possible adaptation measures
- Reporting in accordance with CSRD, EU Taxonomy and TCFD/TNFD and IFRS
- Support in software selection processes (especially for physical risks)